UFC 140: The Wrestling Observer/Figure Four Online Staff Predictions



UFC 140 PosterCompiled by Josh Nason

The UFC returns to Toronto for the second time in 2011 with UFC 140 kicking off in just a few hours, headlined by Light Heavyweight Champion Jon Jones vs. Lyoto Machida.

Martial arts comes alive tonight, folks.

Here's our regulars:

- Dave Meltzer (21-9): Wrestling Observer founder & writer | Yahoo MMA scribe

- Oliver Copp (29-26) and Mike Sawyer (32-23) of Tough Talk: Site | Show

- Bryan Alvarez (12-8): Figure Four Weekly founder & writer | Inventor of the snap suplex

- Mike Sempervive (38-17): Wrestling Observer Live | Big Audio Nightmare w/Adam

- Todd Martin: (40-15): weekly FFD guest | WWE RAW recapper | LA Times | Sherdog

- Yours truly (36-19): FFD guest | FIGHT! Magazine | WGAM MMA Show | Bloody Elbow

Here we go!

Light Heavyweight Champion Jon Jones (14-1)  vs. Lyoto Machida (17-2)

Jones was booed heavily at the weigh-ins, so there's that. The wunderkind will be going for his fourth win of 2011 and if he pulls it off, it will be the first time in UFC history someone has beaten three current/former UFC titleholders in one year. Machida is coming off a win over Randy Couture in April and two consecutive losses before that...three if you count his "win" over Mauricio "Shogun" Rua in their first meeting.

Jones: Nason, Alvarez, Martin, Meltzer, Sawyer
Machida: Sempervive*, Copp

*Semp demanded the public know that he doesn't fully endorse his pick but that if Jones is losing any one time, this will be it.

Frank Mir vs. Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira II

Is it just me or has Mir been invisible on promoting this fight? This is a rematch of their interim heavyweight title fight where Mir walked through Nogueira, who later said he was in recovery from a major staph infection. Mir has won two boring fights in a row (Mirko Cro Cop, Roy Nelson) while Nogueira last KO'd Brendan Schaub in a spectacular scene at August's UFC Rio event.

Mir: Martin, Sempervive, Meltzer, Sawyer, Copp
Nogueira: Nason, Alvarez

Tito Ortiz (16-9-1) vs. Antonio Rogerio Nogueira (19-5)

For the first time in UFC history, brothers will fight on the same card so expect a million buys for the PPV. After being left for dead after a multi-year losing streak, Ortiz's surprise win over Ryan Bader put him back in the spotlight and his short notice loss to Rashad Evans gained him some additional respect. Nogueira has lost two in a row and really three considering his split decision "win" over Jason Brilz at UFC 114.

Ortiz: Nason, Copp
Nogueira: Alvarez, Martin, Sempervive, Meltzer, Sawyer

Claude Patrick (14-1) vs. Brian Ebersole (48-14-1-1)

Patrick is an injury sub for Rory Macdonald and while he isn't a name most MMA fans are familiar with, he has won 13 straight and has nine career submissions. Ebersole has won nine in a row and wants to continue his unexpected run in the UFC that began this year as an injury sub.

Patrick: Nason, Martin, Meltzer
Ebersole: Alvarez, Sempervive, Sawyer, Copp

Mark Hominick (20-9) vs. Chan Sung Jung (11-3)


Hominick returns to action for the first time since his notable loss to Jose Aldo in April (the Hominick-atoma!) and faces the "Korean Zombie" who pulled off the awesome twister submission in his March rematch against Leonard Garcia. Before that, he had lost three of his last four.

Hominick: Nason, Alvarez, Martin, Sempervive, Meltzer, Sawyer
Zombie: Copp

Follow along with all the action here on WrestlingObserver.com starting with the 5:45 PM EST Facebook fights, the 7 PM EST prelims on Ion and the pay-per-view card at 9 PM EST.

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Who do you think won this fight?