UFC On Fox 3 Nate Diaz vs. Jim Miller: Wrestling Observer Staff Previews & Predictions



UFC on Fox 3Compiled by Josh Nason

The least publicized UFC show that Fox has put on to date goes head to head (sorta) with the Floyd Mayweather/Miguel Cotto ppv, raising a lot of questions about ratings, strategy and the like.

It's Saturday night and it's UFC on Fox 3.

Headlined by a fun five round fight of lightweight contenders, is this card the little engine that could or will the haters be vindicated as to the lack of star power?

The panel

- Dave Meltzer (35-14): Wrestling Observer founder & writer

- Bryan Alvarez (0-0): Figure 4 Online founder & write, making his debut picks!

- Todd Martin (27-22): Weekly FFD guest & RAW recapper | LA Times | Sherdog

- Mike Sempervive (29-20): Wrestling Observer Live | Big Audio Nightmare

- Oliver Copp (37-12) & Mike Sawyer (34-15) of Tough Talk: Show

- Josh Nason (30-19): FFD guest | FIGHT! Magazine | Bloody Elbow


Nate Diaz (15-7) vs. Jim Miller (21-3)

One of the more underrated lightweights in the UFC, Diaz looks for his third win in a row and a title shot with a victory Saturday night. Like his older brother, he's show the ability to submit and finish opponents by TKO, which Miller will have to deal with.

Miller hasn't been guaranteed a title shot with a win, but probably should be as his only loss in the last three years was to current champ Benson Henderson. He rebounded from that defeat with a first round submission of Melvin Guillard in January.

Diaz: Nason, Alvarez, Copp
Miller: Meltzer, Sempervive, Sawyer, Martin

Josh Koscheck (17-5) vs. Johny Hendricks (12-1)

Koscheck is gunning for his third straight win, but is coming off a dull victory over Mike Pierce in February. His age (34) has come up as a detriment for the first time in his career, which he hasn't exactly loved. He faces Hendricks, AN AMATEUR WRESTLING GOD, who is coming off a 12 second knockout of Jon Fitch. He's 7-1 in his UFC career with a loss to Rick Story as his only blemish.

Koscheck: Alvarez
Hendricks: Nason, Meltzer, Sempervive, Sawyer, Martin, Copp

Rousimar Palhares (14-3) vs. Alan Belcher (17-6)

In a clash of undervalued middleweights, submission machine Palhares takes on the well-rounded Belcher. Palhares has 10 submissions in his 14 wins. A UFC vet since May 2008, he's won three in a row. Belcher returned after a long layoff to punch out Jason MacDonald last September, extending a three fight win streak.

Palhares: Alvarez, Meltzer, Sempervive, Sawyer, Martin, Copp
Belcher: Nason

Pat Barry (7-4) vs. Lavar Johnson (16-5)

After two straight losses, Barry finally picked up a win by knocking out Christian Morecraft in January. He fights another middle of the pack heavyweight in Johnson, who knocked out the tough Joey Beltran in January, snapping his own two fight win streak. In 32 combined fights, only one has gone the distance.

Barry: Nason, Alvarez, Meltzer, Sempervive, Martin, Copp
Johnson: Sawyer

Tony Ferguson (13-2) vs. Michael Johnson (10-6)

Ferguson was the TUF 14 winner and has won six straight, including all three of his official UFC bouts. TUF 12 semifinalist Johnson has been looking for consistency as he's 2-2 in the UFC, coming off a decision win over Shane Roller in January.

Ferguson: Nason, Alvarez, Meltzer, Sempervive, Sawyer, Martin, Copp

For your live coverage starting with the Facebook fights through the main event, keep it locked on WrestlingObserver.com.