UFC 146 Dos Santos Vs. Mir: Wrestling Observer Staff Picks & Predictions



Compiled by Josh Nason

Can an all-heavyweight card move the needle? Will there be a lot of quick KOs or drawn-out fights with wheezing and coughing?

The world finds out tonight with UFC 146, live in Las Vegas, an event so big that both Dave Meltzer and Bryan Alvarez have descended on the desert to cover it. Subscribers can listen to their pre-event show now.

UFC 146


As we sit at the halfway point of the year, here's our panel and their success metrics to date:

- Dave Meltzer (40-19): Wrestling Observer founder & writer

- Bryan Alvarez (5-5): Figure 4 Online founder & writer

- Todd Martin (31-28): Weekly FFD guest & RAW recapper | LA Times | Sherdog

- Mike Sempervive (33-26): Wrestling Observer Live | Big Audio Nightmare

- Oliver Copp (42-17) & Mike Sawyer (38-21) of Tough Talk: Show

- Josh Nason (37-22): FFD guest | FIGHT! Magazine | Bloody Elbow


UFC Heavyweight Champion Junior dos Santos (14-1) vs. Frank Mir (16-5)


In what could be his final shot at regaining the title he's held twice, the 33-year-old Mir fights dos Santos, looking for the first defense of the title he won last November.

Mir has won three in a row, the most recent being the spectacular first round submission he had over Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira in December. Dos Santos' first round TKO of Cain Velasquez for the belt was seen by millions of people, capping a nine-fight win streak that has lasted since May 2008.

Fun fact: All of Mir's five losses have come via TKO, while dos Santos' only loss was via armbar submission.

dos Santos: Nason, Sempervive, Meltzer, Martin, Alvarez, Sawyer, Copp


Cain Velasquez (9-1) vs. Antonio Silva (16-3)

The former UFC Heavyweight Champion returns after losing his belt to dos Santos and wants to get the respect back that has waned due to injuries and being out of the scene. Originally slated to fight Mir, he now fights Silva who is coming off a first round KO at the hands of Daniel Cormier. Before that, Silva had won three in a row and famously destroyed Fedor Emelianenko.

Velasquez: Nason, Sempervive, Meltzer, Martin, Alvarez, Sawyer
Silva: Copp


Roy Nelson (16-7) vs. Dave Herman (21-3)


Nelson has struggled of late, losing three of his last four. Dana White hates his beard and look. He also hates the look Herman had last time as well. Stefan Struve defeated Herman in February, snapping a two-fight win streak. Nelson can withstand punishment over three rounds and Herman doesn't go past the first round that much.

Nelson: Nason, Sempervive, Meltzer, Martin, Alvarez, Sawyer, Copp


Shane del Rosario (11-0) vs. Stipe Miocic (8-0)


Somebody's 0 must go! Del Rosario makes his UFC debut after being brought over from Strikeforce, fighting for the first time in over a year as he was in a car accident that removed him from a fight with Daniel Cormier. Miocic has finished seven of his eight opponents, knocking out Phil De Fries in just 43 seconds in February.

del Rosario: Nason
Miocic: Sempervive, Meltzer, Martin, Alvarez, Sawyer, Copp


Stefan Struve (23-5) vs. Lavar Johnson (17-5)

Mike Sempervive's favorite fighter of all time looks to extend a two-fight win streak and has won four of his last five. A 10-fight UFC vet, he will battle Johnson who is coming off a big KO of Pat Barry to open the UFC on Fox 3 event three weeks ago. He's 2-0 so far in his UFC career.

Struve: Nason, Sempervive, Meltzer, Alvarez, Copp
Johnson: Martin, Sawyer

There are 13 fights on tonight's card and both Dave & Bryan are in Las Vegas all night bringing you the action live here on Wrestling Observer. Listen for their post-event recap show early Sunday morning.