UFC On Fox 8: Wrestling Observer Picks & Mini-Preview



UFC on Fox 8

By
Josh Nason

We have not one, but two of this site's founders in Seattle for UFC on Fox 8. Yet, this will likely do some really low numbers as compared to other Fox events. 

It's the lil' guys on parade! 
 
Our Panel:

Dave Meltzer (50-24 -- .675): Wrestling Observer founder & writer

Todd Martin (50-24 -- .675): Weekly FFD guest | LA Times | Sherdog

Mike Sempervive (46-28 -- .621): Wrestling Observer Live | Big Audio Nightmare

Mike Sawyer (47-27 -- .635): ToughTalkMMA.com

- Josh Nason (53-21 -- .716): Wrestling Observer web editor, social media guy

- Oliver Copp (44-30 -- .594) of combat sports insider fame

Bryan Alvarez (40-16 -- .714): Figure Four Weekly founder and writer

*****


125-pound Champion Demetrious Johnson (17-2-1) vs. John Moraga (13-1)

The 26-year-old champ has risen to the top of his division, but hasn't got fully over with the masses. Why? I'd argue it's because he's gone the distance in nine of his 10 fights. There have been some exciting bouts (1st Ian McCall fight, title fight vs. Dom Cruz), but the general MMA population hasn't fully embraced "Mighty Mouse".

He looks for the second defense of his title against the 29-year-old Moraga, a relative UFC unknown despite his seven straight wins. Since debuting in the Octagon last August, Moraga has two finishes over Ulysses Gomez and Chris Cariaso.

Johnson: Alvarez, Sempervive, Nason, Copp, Martin, Sawyer, Meltzer

Rory MacDonald (14-1) vs. Jake Ellenberger (29-6)

Rory Mac has been anointed 'The Next Great Canadian Thing' by the UFC, heavily pushed to anyone that will listen. Riding a four fight win streak, he was last seen beating up B.J. Penn for three rounds back in December.

Expected to fight Carlos Condit in March, he had to pull out due to injury. Despite being 24, he's on a steady two fight a year pace instead of the usual three.

He has a game challenger in Ellenberger, a once fast rising prospect that got derailed thanks to just one June 2012 loss to Martin Kampmann. He was last seen knocking out Nate Marquardt in three minutes in March.

There has been plenty of acrimony between the two, mainly spurred by Ellenberger on Twitter. It's an important fight for both guys as a win puts them in line for a title shot. However, MacDonald said he would never fight GSP, so there's that.

MacDonald: Alvarez, Copp, Nason, Martin, Sawyer, Meltzer
Ellenberger:
Sempervive

Robbie Lawler (20-9-0-1) vs. Bobby Voelker (24-9)


If history is an indication, Lawler will lose Saturday night as he hasn't won two in a row since 2007, a stretch of 11 fights. He surprised everyone with a 1st round KO of Josh Koscheck in February.

He has a good shot of that second straight win as he fights a short notice replacement in Strikeforce vet Voelker, a sub for the injured Siyar Bahadurzada. Voelker made his UFC debut in March and lost a close u/d to Patrick Cote, snapping a three fight win streak.

Lawler: Nason, Copp, Martin, Sawyer, Meltzer
Voelker:
Alvarez, Sempervive

Liz Carmouche (8-3) vs. Jessica Andrade (9-2)

America's darling Carmouche returns for the first time since nearly cranking Ronda Rousey's face off. Originally slated to fight Miesha Tate, she now gets the debuting Andrade.

At just 21 years old, she's one of the UFC's youngest fighters. Will that overwhelm her Saturday night? She comes into the fight having won her last two by submission and has finishes in all of her victories.

Carmouche: Alvarez, Sempervive, Copp, Nason, Martin, Sawyer
Andrade:
Meltzer

Here's Dave's coverage and here's Bryan's. Fight!

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