UFC Fight Night Indianapolis: Observer Picks & Preview for Condit vs. Kampmann II



Condit vs. Kampmann 2

By Josh Nason

For the second of three straight Wednesdays, UFC returns to the Fox Sports 1 airwaves and hopefully yield some viewership numbers considerably higher than what they have now. Other than UFC, the numbers have been a struggle and perhaps is another reasons they decided Wednesday to move up the time FS1 was set to air prelims one hour.

So put aside that fantasy football draft for five minutes (I have two going during the show!) and check out what our team thinks about tonight's main card.


Dave Meltzer (60-28 -- .681): Wrestling Observer founder & writer

Todd Martin (61-27 -- .693): Weekly FFD guest | LA Times | Sherdog

Mike Sempervive (54-34 -- .613): Wrestling Observer Live | Big Audio Nightmare

Mike Sawyer (57-31 -- .647): ToughTalkMMA.com

- Josh Nason (64-24 -- .727): Wrestling Observer web editor, social media guy

- Oliver Copp (56-32 -- .636) of combat sports insider fame


*****

Carlos Condit (28-7) vs. Martin Kampmann (20-6) II


For the first time since the summer of 2006, Condit is coming off two straight losses. He rebounded nicely then with eight straight wins, but can he do it again? The competition in those losses was kinda good: some GSP guy and the Oklahoma Wrecking Machine known as Johny Hendricks. In both losses, Condit looked great. It's the least career damaging two fight win streak someone could have.

Kampmann has a reputation for losing close fights, notably his split decision loss to Jake Shields in October 2010 and Diego Sanchez in March 2011. Since then, he's 3-1 with wins over Rick Story, Thiago Alves and Jake Ellenberger. He's been off since a 46 second KO loss to the aforementioned Hendricks last November, one of his longest stretches of inactivity since 2011.

The two last fought in April 2009 with Kampmann taking a unanimous decision. In the deepening 170-pound division, a loss is a huge setback.

Condit: Nason, Martin, Copp, Meltzer, Sempervive
Kampmann: Sawyer

Donald Cerrone (20-5-0-1) vs. Rafael dos Anjos (19-6)

After a six fight win streak brought him into title consideration, a decision loss to Nate Diaz in December 2011 set that back a bit. He's won three of his last four and last picked up a decision win over K.J. Noons in late May. He faces the surging dos Anjos, a UFC stalwart since the fall of 2008. His current four fight win streak is the longest in his UFC tenure. Is the 28-year-old coming into his own or is this just a lucky streak?

Cerrone: Nason, Martin, Copp, Meltzer, Sempervive
RDA: Sawyer

Kelvin Gastellum (6-0) vs. Brian Melancon (6-2)


Gastellum truly kicks off his UFC career Wednesday, dropping to 170 pounds. The surprise winner of TUF 17 with a split decision over the enigma Uriah Hall, he gets injury replacement Melancon. Melancon made his UFC debut in July with a last second KO of Seth Baczynski. Literally, it was at 4:59 of the 1st round.

Gastellum: Martin, Copp, Sawyer, Meltzer, Sempervive
Melancon: Nason

Court McGee (15-3) vs. Robert Whittaker (11-2)

McGee is a resident of Decisionville with his last four (2-1) going the distance. Since winning the TUF 11 finale, McGee is 3-2 in the Octagon but hasn't seemed to make any progress one way or another. The 22-year-old Whittaker is relatively unknown to fight fans even with his TUF: Smashes welterweight tourney victory. He finished TUF 16 winner Colton Smith via 3rd round TKO in May.

McGee: Sawyer
Whittaker: Nason, Martin, Copp, Meltzer, Sempervive

Erik Perez (13-4) vs. Takeya Mizugaki (17-7-2)

If you've never heard of Perez, he's won eight straight and has first round finishes in all three of his Octagon appearances. The 23-year-old is also getting some promotional buzz for the lucha mask that he likes to wear. Sounds good to me! Mizugaki continues to hang around the middle of the bantamweight pack, picking up decision wins over Jeff Hougland and Bryan Caraway in his last two bouts.

Perez: Nason, Martin, Copp, Sempervive
Mizugaki: Sawyer, Meltzer