UFC London 2026 Evloev vs Murphy Prelims Start Times, Main Card Start Times, Card, Odds: US, UK, Australia and more

UFC London returns to the O2 Arena on Saturday, March 21, 2026, for one of the most historically significant featherweight matchups in Fight Night history. Movsar Evloev (19–0) faces Lerone Murphy (17–0–1) in a title eliminator that sets a new UFC record for most combined wins without a loss (36–0–1) in a single fight. The winner almost certainly earns a shot at the featherweight crown next.

UFC London Start Times by Region

In the UK, the prelims stream on TNT Sports 1 and discovery+, with the main card following on the same platforms. US fans can catch all the action on Paramount+. Australians will need to be early risers for this one.

UFC London 2026 Full Fight Card

Main Card

Prelims

UFC London 2026 Odds – Evloev vs Murphy

The First Strike model gives Evloev a 62.96% win probability, making him the statistical favourite, yet the story is anything but straightforward. Every one of Evloev’s nine UFC victories has come by decision, and his grappling metrics are elite: an 81% clinch/ground control rate, 42 recorded UFC takedowns, and a relentless 6.24 takedown attempts per five minutes. Murphy’s takedown defence sits at just 51%, meaning Evloev’s wrestling could prove decisive across five rounds.​

Murphy, however, is the cleaner striker by a considerable margin. He lands 4.48 significant strikes per minute with a remarkable +1.97 striking differential, scoring three TKO finishes in the UFC. If he keeps the fight standing, the math shifts significantly in his favour.​

Key Model Win Probabilities via VSiN

Duncan is the model’s most emphatic lean on the card, posting a +1.63 striking differential and 4.60 significant strikes per minute versus Dolidze’s –0.31 differential. For the welterweight bout, Patterson’s 80% xR% (expected round-winning percentage) dwarfs MVP’s 41%, though the sample size on Patterson remains limited at under 15 minutes of UFC cage time (via VSiN)​.

Murphy’s Path to an Upset

Murphy enters on a nine-fight UFC win streak and arrives red-hot after a spectacular spinning-back elbow TKO over Aaron Pico in August 2025. He has been knocked down just twice in his UFC career and has never faced a grappler with Evloev’s sheer volume and persistence at this level.

If Murphy can survive the early wrestling storm, his striking output and finishing ability make him a genuine threat to derail the Evloev freight train. This is a five-round chess match, and potentially one of the best featherweight fights the UFC has produced in years.

Jake Jeremy

Jake is the Head of Audience at F4WOnline, having previously worked as a Combat Sports, Gaming and Pro Wrestling writer, successful Editor in Chief and Sports Coordinator. He has more than ten years of experience covering mixed martial arts, pro wrestling, football and gaming across a number of publications, starting at SEScoops in 2012.

He previously also worked for PROGRESS Wrestling as Head of Media as well as working on the social channels of the company.

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