UFC 319 Predictions Main Card: Du Plessis vs Chimaev
UFC 319 is set to deliver one of the most anticipated middleweight title fights of the year as Dricus Du Plessis defends his belt against undefeated Khamzat Chimaev. The event takes place at the United Center tonight in Chicago (16 August 2025), and the clash promises fireworks as a tactically smart champion meets a pressure heavy favorite looking to cement his legacy.
Why Du Plessis can win
Du Plessis has proved to be one of the most complete middleweights in recent years. He combines crisp striking with legitimate submission ability and has defended his title against top names, showing patience and fight IQ in five round fights. His recent run includes wins over established contenders that demonstrate he can adapt mid fight and manage distance while still finding late fight finishing opportunities. These traits make him a difficult puzzle for any wrestler or pressure fighter to solve.
Why Chimaev can win
Khamzat Chimaev brings relentless forward momentum and an elite wrestling base that has overwhelmed opponents across two weight classes. His undefeated record and string of high profile stoppages underline a capacity to impose his game early and control the pace.
Chimaev has also shown improved cardio across later rounds and an ability to mix takedowns with ground transitions that frustrate skilled strikers. If he can close distance without eating heavy counter strikes, he has multiple paths to victory.
Tactical matchup and keys to victory
This fight is a classic match of styles. Du Plessis will aim to keep the fight at range, use feints, and land takedown defence to frustrate Chimaev. He must avoid extended clinch scrambles where Chimaev is strongest. Conversely, Chimaev will look to cut off the cage and create wrestling entries, then use ground control to either grind out a decision or secure a submission. Conditioning, first round calmness, and successful execution of game plans will decide the champion.
Prediction
Oddsmakers currently show Chimaev as the favorite, reflecting faith in his pressure and unbeaten record. That said, Du Plessis is the technically superior mixed martial artist with proven five round experience at championship level.
In terms of a prediction, I expect a competitive opening two rounds with Chimaev hunting takedowns. If Du Plessis can keep the fight standing into rounds three to five, he has the advantage and a solid chance to retain, either by decision or late finish.
Final prediction, Du Plessis by unanimous decision.
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