AEW Double or Nothing odds leave room for MJF to go bald | Opinion
Some of you reading this might believe that MJF is a lock to win his third world title at AEW Double or Nothing tonight and avoid being shaved bald.
According to the latest betting odds, he is a -300 favorite to defeat Darby Allin at +200. While those are good odds for MJF, they are definitely not “full-blown certain he’s going to win” odds.
I think many of us, myself included, assumed based on the stipulation that there was really no chance MJF would lose. After all, if he was willing to have his head shaved bald, it felt like that would have happened during his program with Místico in CMLL.
And MJF’s hair has changed a little since then too.
When MJF and Mistico had their program, I’m not certain that MJF’s potentially trip-to-Turkey-assisted hair situation was quite as lush and, I dare say, buoyant as what we’ve seen since he returned to AEW late last year.
So if MJF wasn’t willing to have his head shaved before, what would make him willing to do it now?
MJF vs. Darby Allin stipulation impacts AEW Double or Nothing ticket market
Dave Meltzer noted on Wrestling Observer Radio on Saturday that the secondary market for tickets to Double or Nothing tripled in price after the title vs. hair stipulation was announced.
The show is sold out, and it’s approaching a $1.5 million gate, if it hasn’t gotten there already. This has been a huge success. People are into it.
And we’ve seen big stipulations do well for AEW on pay-per-view before.
But I wonder if the interest in the stipulation could actually increase the chances that we see MJF lose, see the stipulation carried through, and that tonight’s pay-per-view ends with locks of hair lying on the ring mat as a bald MJF sobs in the corner.
Will MJF actually get shaved bald at AEW Double or Nothing?
MJF and Darby Allin are surprisingly similar.
A few ways to describe them: When it comes to wrestling, both MJF and Darby go all out, full throttle, pedal to the metal, all gas, no brakes, whatever. They turn their speakers to 11.
In MJF’s case, this is at least true when it comes to wrestling. For Darby, it appears to be with life in general.
MJF’s commitment to maintaining his character is the same kind of commitment to wrestling that Darby had when he threw himself through shards of glass during Sting’s last match.
While you can accuse MJF’s character of being lazy and opportunistic, I don’t think anyone can debate that whatever real person is hidden under layers of the MJF character is incredibly passionate about wrestling. He wouldn’t be going to the lengths he does if he didn’t.
If MJF believes it’s best for wrestling for him to have his Turkey vacation-assisted hair shaved clean bald tonight, I think he’ll do it.
AEW Double or Nothing 2026 Betting Odds
As for the other betting odds at AEW Double or Nothing, Jon Moxley is a -1000 favorite to beat Kyle O’Reilly at +550 in the AEW Continental Championship match.
Konosuke Takeshita is a -280 favorite to defeat Kazuchika Okada at +185 in the International title match.
Athena is a -800 favorite over Mina Shirakawa at +425 in the Women’s Owen Hart Cup quarterfinal.
Cage and Cope are massive -3000 favorites against FTR at +900 in the AEW World Tag Team title match.
Will Ospreay is a -3000 favorite against Samoa Joe at +900 in the Owen Hart tournament quarterfinals.
Swerve Strickland is a -800 favorite over Bandido at +425 in the other men’s Owen Hart tournament quarterfinal.
Chris Jericho, the Hurt Syndicate, and the Elite are -700 favorites over the Demand, Don Callis Family, and the Dogs at +400 in Stadium Stampede.
And in the AEW Women’s World title match, champion Thekla is a -1000 favorite to retain against Jamie Hayter at +350, Hikaru Shida at +1000, and Kris Statlander at +1100.
Ian Carey is a writer from Toronto, Ontario, Canada, whose work has been featured in NOW Magazine, The Huffington Post, and more. A lifelong wrestling aficionado born in Calgary, Alberta, Canada, he has covered the industry for a decade and a half. He joined the f4wonline.com team in 2019.