UFC Vegas 113 Bautista vs Oliveira Predictions

UFC Vegas 113 takes place on Saturday, February 7, 2026 at the UFC APEX in Las Vegas, streaming on Paramount+ with prelims at 5 p.m. ET and the main card at 8 p.m. ET.

These UFC Vegas 113 predictions I’ve put together will focus on the matchups and current betting markets, with lines very like to shift during fight week.

Mario Bautista vs Vinicius Oliveira UFC prediction

Pick: Mario Bautista via decision (lean), or late submission if Oliveira fades

Bautista is built for five rounds because he can win minutes in multiple phases. On paper, he brings a slightly higher striking pace (5.58 significant strikes landed per minute via UFC Stats), with solid striking defense (55 percent) and consistent grappling attempts. Oliveira is explosive and slippery, and his defensive profile is real: he absorbs just 2.89 significant strikes per minute while defending takedowns at 54 percent.

So why side with Bautista? In a five round main event, the safer path is usually the fighter who can layer pressure, clinch control, and takedown threats to steal rounds even when the striking is close. Oliveira’s speed and kick variety can win early exchanges, but if Bautista starts chaining entries to the fence and forcing scrambles, that pace can tilt late rounds. The odds reflect that growing confidence, with Bautista now a stronger favorite than the original opening number.

Amir Albazi vs Kyoji Horiguchi prediction

Pick: Kyoji Horiguchi via decision

Horiguchi enters as a sizable favorite and it makes sense stylistically. Albazi’s output is low volume (2.72 significant strikes landed per minute via UFC Stats) and he often relies on timing and wrestling to swing rounds. Horiguchi’s edge is pace plus experience against elite speed, and he has shown he can threaten late with submissions, including a recent UFC win over Tagir Ulanbekov.

The path for Albazi is to slow the fight, get Horiguchi to the fence, and try to bank some control time. The path for Horiguchi is to keep it in open space, win the jab and kick exchanges, and make Albazi shoot from too far out so he can attempt a takedown or hold for a decision.

Best UFC Vegas 113 picks on the main card

Here are my straight picks for the rest of the UFC Vegas 113 main card, based on stylistic matchups and current lines:

Jake Jeremy

Jake is the Head of Audience at F4WOnline, having previously worked as a Combat Sports, Gaming and Pro Wrestling writer, successful Editor in Chief and Sports Coordinator. He has more than ten years of experience covering mixed martial arts, pro wrestling, football and gaming across a number of publications, starting at SEScoops in 2012.

He previously also worked for PROGRESS Wrestling as Head of Media as well as working on the social channels of the company.

• X